Plain English Guides

Offences Excluded From the Release Changes

The offences barred from the progression model by the Schedule to SI 2026/953, and what being excluded actually means

What was announced

The Sentencing Act 2026 moves the automatic release point for most standard determinate sentences: from 40% or one-half down to one-third, and from two-thirds down to one-half. That package is called the progression model, and it starts on 1 October 2026.

On 4 August 2026, after a review of the policy, the government announced that rape, serious child sex offences and grooming offences would be barred from those changes. People sentenced for those offences keep the release point they have now.

This is now the law
The Schedule to SI 2026/953, made on 1 September 2026, is the exclusion list. It is wider than the August announcement: alongside rape and serious child sexual offences it covers manslaughter and infanticide, child destruction, cruelty to a child, indecent assault, complicity in another's suicide, causing death by driving or cycling, dangerous dogs, and genocide and war crimes. The full list is below.

What "excluded" actually means

This is the part the headlines tend to skip

Nothing gets longer

Being excluded does not add time to a sentence. It means the release point does not move. Someone released at two-thirds today is still released at two-thirds.

"Keeps the current release point" is not the same as "keeps 40%"

The 40% release point introduced in September 2024 had exclusions of its own. Sexual offences, domestic abuse offences and national security offences were left at one-half, as were sentences of four years or more for offences in Part 1 of Schedule 15 to the Criminal Justice Act 2003. Many of the offences now excluded from the progression model are in that group, so their release point is one-half rather than 40%, and it stays there. Offences excluded at two-thirds under section 244ZA stay at two-thirds.

The change simply does not apply

Everyone else on a standard determinate sentence moves to the earlier release point on 1 October 2026. People on this list do not.

It is about the offence, not the person

The exclusion attaches to the offence someone was convicted of. If a sentence covers several offences, check each one.

Licence and recall are unaffected

Time on licence, licence conditions and recall work exactly as they did before. Only the custody/licence split changes for people who are not excluded.

Who was already outside the progression model

The progression model only ever applied to standard determinate sentences. More than 18,000 people serving more serious sentences were never eligible:

  • Life sentences — release is a Parole Board decision after the minimum term.
  • Extended Determinate Sentences (EDS) — earliest parole stays at the two-thirds point.
  • Imprisonment for Public Protection (IPP) — release requires a Parole Board direction.
  • Terrorism and national security cases — the Act's transitional provisions expressly do not reach them.

The 4 August 2026 announcement added the offence-based exclusions below on top of those sentence-based ones.

The excluded offences

58 offences across 17 Acts, as published by the Ministry of Justice. Inchoate versions of each are covered too — see below.

Aviation and Maritime Security Act 1990

Children and Young Persons Act 1933

Common Law

  • s. Manslaughter also called Voluntary Manslaughter, Involuntary Manslaughter

Criminal Justice Act 1988

Dangerous Dogs Act 1991

Domestic Violence, Crime and Victims Act 2004

Indecency with Children Act 1960

Infant Life (Preservation) Act 1929

Infanticide Act 1938

International Criminal Court Act 2001

Offences Against the Person Act 1861

Protection of Children Act 1978

  • s.1 Making Indecent Images of Children also called Possession of Indecent Images of Children, Taking Indecent Photographs of Children, Indecent Images of Children, Taking, Distributing etc. Indecent Photographs of Children

Sexual Offences Act 1956

Sexual Offences Act 2003

Suicide Act 1961

Inchoate offences are included
Attempting, conspiring, inciting, encouraging or assisting (Serious Crime Act 2007, Part 2), and aiding, abetting, counselling or procuring any of the offences above are all excluded on the same terms. Conspiracy to rape is excluded because rape is.

Checking a specific sentence

The release date calculator asks which offence the sentence was for. If you pick one from this list, it shows the release point as unchanged and explains why, instead of applying the new fraction.

This is Not Legal Advice
This guide provides general information only. It is not endorsed by the Ministry of Justice, HMPPS, or any government body. For advice specific to your situation, consult a solicitor or legal adviser.